Assessing the standings in the Second Division is a complicated exercise. We’re currently in 3rd place on tie-breakers and we've made the playoffs. It’s difficult to see how the dust settles in the division because there are so many makeup games, and some teams have not entered their results. We probably won’t see a lot of movement in the standings for our team because we’ve played the most games and have the fewest points left to gain. Right now, here's what we're looking at:
1. Flirts, 5-1-0, 15 pts
2. Hoover FC, 4-0-1, 13 pts
3. Goleros, 4-2-1, 13 pts
4. DC Divided, 3-1-2, 11 pts
5. Lost Tourists, 3-2-1, 10 pts
6. Armory, 2-2-1, 7 pts
7. DC Thunder, 1-3-2, 5 pts
8. Dips, 0-4-2, 2 pts
9. Far Post, 0-4-1, 1 pt
10. Funky Town, 0-3-1, 1 pt
View the full table here.
As we go through scenarios, I call upon Nate and other fellow bloggers to set me straight if I make mistakes. Let’s get started.
Going into the final game, the best we will finish is 2nd; the worst, 5th. We finish in 2nd with 16 points if we beat DC Divided, while the Flirts lose to Armory and tie Hoover FC, while Hoover FC picks up only 1 point in three games. Those scenarios are very unlikely, but they are the only way we are guaranteed to play for the championship. We can drop to 5th with 13 points if we lose to DC Divided, who would leapfrog us in the standings, while Lost Tourists win out versus Hoover FC and Armory and also leapfrog us.
What does this mean? Well, if we win this weekend, we will probably secure 3rd place. If we lose or tie, we will probably drop in the standings – I’m guessing to 4th – as DC Divided gets another chance to jump us in a makeup game plus they would probably hold the tie-breaker. Lost Tourists would also get a chance to jump us, although they’d have to win out because we hold the tie-breaker against them due to last week’s win. At the bottom of the table, four teams are fighting off relegation. DC Thunder is probably out of the playoffs, but they’re otherwise safe. The Diplomats, Far Post, and Funky Town are in the worst shape.
Let’s have a good game this weekend and see what happens.
Correct me if I'm wrong but I think Flirts have to loose both games for us to have a chance at second place - because if they tie one game and loose one game then they will have 16 points - equaling our 16 points (if we win Sunday) and they have the tie breaker on us.
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